Monday, August 11, 2008

Time to focus on the tropics



August and September is the time of year that hurricane season becomes most dangerous in the Atlantic Basin. As the above NOAA graphic shows, August 15 through October 15 is the peak of the season.

This year may very well prove that the case once again. The National Hurricane Center is watching two areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic with the potential to become Fay and Gustav:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

2. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED
OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$
FORECASTER RHOME



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