Midday Nowcast: Decent Rain Chances Today Through The Weekend - [image: simuawips]Skies are partly cloudy for the northern parts of Central Alabama at this hour, with the southern part of the area enjoying a little more...
1 hour ago
5:00 AM 1/26/14: NWS Multimedia briefing describes uncertainty in the forecast due to conflicting models. It also reminds viewers to check with the State Department of Transportation web page.
2:53 PM 1/27/14: In addition to the snowfall there will be a period for freezing rain accumulations south of I-85. Ice amounts will be around a tenth of an inch in these locations. Expect the wintry mixture of precipitation will begin around 10 am and last until around 6 pm before switching to all snow.
FYI...We have added Bibb, Shelby & Talladega Counties to the Winter Weather Advisory for tomorrow (Tuesday). Potential snow accumulations remain about the same...generally up to 1/2 inch.
5:15 AM 1/28/14: In addition to the snowfall there will be a period for freezing rain accumulations south of I-85. Total ice amounts will range from a tenth of an inch to around a quarter inch for the highlighted locations above. Expect the freezing rain to begin around 10 am and last through about 9 pm before switching to all snow. Travel may become quite hazardous where ice accumulates.
5:35 AM: Wintry precipitation is expected to begin across Central and Southern Alabama this morning and persist into the overnight hours tonight. The highest snow and sleet totals will be across areas along Interstate-85 where 2-3 inches of snow/sleet accumulations are expected. There will be a sharp cut off in snow/sleet accumulations to the north. Locations north of a line from Livingston to West Blocton to Talladega to Heflin can expect to see a dusting to one quarter of an inch. Across locations south of Interstate 85, including the cities of Troy, Eufaula, and Hurtsboro, an extended period of freezing rain is expected before a transition to snow after 6pm.
9:37 AM: A large area of wintry precipitation is currently overspreading Central Alabama. While the heaviest amounts are expected to be along and south of the US 80 and I-85 corridor, hazardous conditions and slick roads are expect nearly area wide.
2:41 PM: A large area of wintry precipitation continues to overspread Central Alabama and slowly make its way southeastward. While the heaviest amounts are expected to be along and south of the Interstate 20-59 corridor... hazardous conditions and slick roads are expect nearly area wide. Travel is discouraged.As illustrated here, forecasters pointed out the uncertainty in snowfall forecasts, especially in the South. Forecasts for the Birmingham area ranged generally from a dusting to 1/4 of an inch. 2-3 inches were forecast to the southeast, along the I-85 corridor. What actually occurred in the Birmingham area was 1-2" of snow. The forecast was off by an inch or so, with the caveat given, as always, that there was margin for error. Was the forecast perfect? No. Was it a major bust leading to human suffering? I also say "no" to that! There were certainly other factors at play: