Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Quiet Start to Severe Weather Season

Graphic courtesy of
Thus far, the Spring severe weather season has been relatively quiet in Alabama. Don't let that cause you to let your guard down, however. A new study by Greg Carbin of the SPC illustrates that "making a prediction of tornado activity in May, based on the character of the season to date through April, would be a tricky bet."

A potentially strong severe weather outbreak is certainly possible in the South later this week. The NWS Jackson, Mississippi is particularly concerned about a potential outbreak Friday afternoon through Saturday. Although predicting specifics this far in advance are very difficult, Jackson's morning forecast discussion today indicated that they are expecting a "high end" type severe threat. The SPC, in their latest Day4-8 outlook stated that widespread severe weather seems likely in portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Western Tennessee, and NW Alabama Friday into Saturday.

Although 2010 has been relatively quiet in regard to severe weather in Alabama so far, that is not to say there hasn't been any. The NWS Birmingham has posted their Storm Data article for January 2010 here.

One final note:

There was an interesting article in recently which cited a study by Michael Frates of the University of Akron in Ohio that points out that the "tornado alley" of the Plains is not necessarily the location of the greatest number of strong to violent tornadoes.


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