Thursday, September 11, 2008

Latest from the NHC

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE
ADVISORY NUMBER 42

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...IKE CONTINUES TO GROW IN SIZE BUT HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST...


1000 AM CDT:

POSITION...25.5 N...88.4 W.

MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.




THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE NEAR LANDFALL
RANGES FROM A CATEGORY FOUR FROM THE GFDL TO CATEGORY TWO FROM THE
SHIPS MODEL...ABOUT THE ERROR ONE CAN EXPECT FROM AN OFFICIAL
FORECAST ONE TO TWO DAYS OUT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ROUGHLY SPLITS
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THESE GUIDANCE MODELS...AND ANTICIPATES THAT
IKE WILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.

2 comments:

Storm Chasing Mikey said...

and they have just decided to start mandatory evacuations < 48 hours out. Amazing. This will be bad.

Mike said...

I read your post on that. It is late, but not as late as NOLA during Katrina.