Sunday, August 31, 2008

Where will Gustav make landfall?


This is my own map showing projected landfall and greatest risk of storm surge.

It is now getting close enough to the time that Gustav will make landfall to take the models more seriously as far as pinpointing a location.

The NHC is expecting landfall tomorrow around midday.

I should emphasize that the exact point of landfall is still uncertain and people outside that point will still experience hazardous weather conditions.

Below is what the models and the NHC are saying.


NHC forecast as of 7 p.m.


Model "spaghetti plot" as of 7 p.m. I added the bold red lines.


The areas in purple have the greatest likelihood of storm surge,
according to the NHC.


10:16 p.m. NOLA Nexrad


Webcam from Houma, Louisiana:

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