Saturday, May 10, 2008

Moderate risk to be expanded


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0853
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0405 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN OK/SOUTHERN MO/MUCH OF AR/
SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY/WESTERN AND MIDDLE TN/NORTHERN AL/
MUCH OF GA

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 100905Z - 101100Z

A VERY ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. AN INITIAL /06Z/ MODERATE RISK EXISTS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX/MID SOUTH REGION AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES. THIS MODERATE RISK WILL BE EXPANDED NORTH/EASTWARD
WITH THE UPCOMING 13Z DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

ESPECIALLY REGARDING THE NORTH EXTENT...PRIMARY CONCERN IS
THEPOTENTIAL INTENSIFICATION OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH LATE
TODAY...WITH RAPID DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW FROM EASTERN
KS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT. EXPECTED
EXPANSION OF THE 13Z MODERATE RISK WOULD NOW INCLUDE FAR
EASTERN OK/NORTHERN AR/SOUTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY/
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHERN AL/MUCH OF GA. A PUBLIC
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK /PWO/ WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

..GUYER.. 05/10/2008

2 comments:

Storm Chasing Mikey said...

This could be the day of days Mike. I'll be tracking you.

SCM

Mike said...

Yes indeed...the worst will be here at nite...thinking of driving west this p.m. if something develops before dark.