Sunday, September 09, 2007

Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Today she made landfall on the North Carolina coast. Top winds before landfall were 60 mph. The models were pretty impressive with this storm. Before it formed the models were in good agreement not only that it would form but that it would make landfall on the NC coast. Despite the fact that the initial disturbance almost completely disintegrated with a passing trough, the models hung in there and proved quite accurate. One of the early models (I think it was the GFDL) overestimated the strength, showing it as a Cat 3 at landfall. But, this was early on. Overall the models did a good job with this storm. Even back on Thursday night, most models were saying that it would be a strong TS or minimal hurricane making landfall on the NC coast Sunday morning. That's basically what happened.

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