Friday, August 31, 2007

Things are brewing in the tropics...

This just in from James Spann:

"TROPICS: Looks like we have Tropical Storm Felix on our hands; we will have the data from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft in the region shortly; this system will move through the Windward Islands during the next few hours, and will journey through the southern Caribbean over the weekend. This is a low latitude tropical cyclone, and all of the models move it into either Central America or the Yucatan peninsula next week, with no entry into the Gulf of Mexico."

Thursday, August 30, 2007

My son's report...

David submitted today's weather to ABC 33/40

Vinemont, AL
-
Low 70
High 90.9
Rain .56 inches
David Wilhelm - Thu Aug 30 21:46:46 2007

I'm ready for meteorological fantasy football!

I am the proud recipient of an invitation to play fantasy football with a bunch of famous weather geeks! I sent an email with my qualifications that read...

I hope I get picked for the team!I am a 42 year old weather geek. I could write a book on what makes me a weather geek. Actually I have been slowly working on a weather book since the late 80's when I was a student at UA. The best evidence of my wx geekness is my blog. This particular entry really shows how geeky I have been since the 70's! My weather geek bio is here which tells most of the sad, geeky story. As if that wasn't scary enough, my friends and some of my teachers in high school called me "HD", as in H.D. Bagley, North Alabama weather legend. I was even in a series of commercials for ABC 33/40 in the late 90's touting James Spann. If all of that isn't proof of wx geekness, I don't know what is!I have played fantasy football several years with some of my old high school buddies, but I must admit I like fantasy baseball better.I have played fantasy sports every year since the late 90's and my friends on there have always known my team as "Mike's Mesocyclones". I see no need to change now.

Tonight I will enter the league.

I have one big problem I need some immediate assistance with, however. The fantasy sports team name that I always use is "Mike's Mesocyclones". I was informed that the name Mesocyclones has already been taken.

Please comment a.s.a.p. with your suggestions this afternoon! Making up creative names is not my forte and I really need help!

Requirements: It needs to be weather related and it needs to be clean!

Yea! It Rained!

.92" of rain fell last night between 11:10pm and midnight in Vinemont.

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Beautiful rain is still falling




This is worth staying up to watch...you would think it was snowing...

As of 11:40 there has been .84" during the last 30 minutes...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL

1134 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2007



ALZ016-300515-

CULLMAN-

1134 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2007



...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CULLMAN COUNTY UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...



AT 1130 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

ARAB TO 6 MILES WEST OF WARRIOR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.



HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.



* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...

BAILEYTON.



RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE AREA OF

THUNDERSTORMS. THIS MAY RESULT IN BRIEF RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND PONDING

OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL

TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS

CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

Rain!


It began raining at 11:10 and during the past 14 minutes I have recorded .52" of the beautiful wet stuff. I stood out on my front poarch and enjoyed watching it fall and feeling the cool breeze.

Friday 8/24/07 highs

100 Centreville
100 Livingston
100 Gaylesville
100 Horseshoe Bend - Tallapoosa
100 Manchester
100 Tuscaloosa
100 Desoto State Park
100 Meridianville
100 Scottsboro
100 Union Grove
101 Jasper
101 Montgomery
101 Decatur
101 Athens Water Plant
101 Harvest
101 Madison
101 Muscle Shoals TVA Reservoir
102 Huntsville
102 Muscle Shoals
102 Huntsville - UAH
102 Russellville
102 Vinemont (101.5)
103 Florence

Thursday 8/23/07 highs

107 PINSON
106 HAMILTON
105 KIMBERLY (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
105 INVERNESS (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
105 HELENA (MET. BRIAN PETERS)
105 FAYETTE (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
105 BLACK CREEK (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
105 ALABASTER (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
104 MONTGOMERY
104 MCCALLA (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
104 FLORENCE
104 DESOTO STATE PARK
104 DESOTO STATE PARK
104 CRUMLEY CHAPEL (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
104 CAHABA HEIGHTS (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
104 BIRMINGHAM INTL
104 ANNISTON
104 ALEXANDER CITY
103 TUSCALOOSA
103 TRUSVILLE (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
103 SCOTTSBORO
103 RUSSELLVILLE
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
103 GADSDEN
103 ASHLAND
103 ANDERSON
102 VINEMONT SCHOOL (101.7)
102 VALLEY HEAD
102 TUSCALOOSA (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
102 SCOTTSBORO - AIRPORT
102 INVERNESS (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
102 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
102 HUNTSVILLE
102 HELENA (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
102 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
102 HANCEVILLE
102 DEMOPOLIS (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
102 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
102 CLANTON (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
102 CALERA
102 BIRMINGHAM DWNTN (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
102 AUBURN
102 ATHENS WATER PLANT
101 UNION GROVE
101 SHELBY SHORES (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
101 SELMA
101 RUSSELLVILLE - AIRPORT
101 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
101 MORRIS (ABC 33/40 SKYWATCHER)
101 MADISON - NORTH
101 JASPER
101 GADSDEN (ABC 33/40 SKYCAM)
101 DOTHAN
101 DECATUR
101 CULLMAN AG STATION
101 CROSSVILLE AG STN
101 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
100 VALLEY HEAD - WATER BD
100 RUSSELL CAVE NAT MON
100 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
100 LIVINGSTON
100 HORSESHOE BEND/TALLAPOOSA
100 HELENA
100 GUNTERSVILLE - WTWX-FM
100 GAYLESVILLE/CHEROKEE
100 FYFFE
100 EVERGREEN
100 CROSSVILLE - CRN
100 ALBERTVILLE - AIRPORT

Saturday, August 25, 2007

I drove through this mess...


As I was driving north from Montgomery I ran into this severe thunderstorm Friday afternoon in Chilton county. At 3:12 I called in a report to the NWS Birmingham of a tree down on I-65 near the 216 mile marker. I saw an amazing display of cloud to ground lightning, high winds, and torrential downpours. I was in a wet microburst. I tried to call my report in a few minutes earlier but cell phone sevice is not very good in Chilton County (apologies to my college friends from there).

Text of the NWS warning:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
312 PM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...JEMISON...CLANTON...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 306 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LOMAX...OR 6 MILES EAST OF JEMISON...AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
THORSBY...LOMAX...CLANTON AND JEMISON BY 330 PM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3292 8650 3305 8664 3291 8683 3277 8672

$$

12/SIRMONU

Updates:

979
WWUS54 KBMX 242029
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
329 PM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007

ALC021-242045-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0200.000000T0000Z-070824T2045Z/
CHILTON AL-
329 PM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN CHILTON COUNTY...

AT 324 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOMAX...OR ABOUT NEAR
CLANTON...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LOMAX BY 335 PM CDT...
THORSBY AND 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JEMISON BY 345 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3281 8648 3305 8664 3291 8683 3273 8662

$$

12/SIRMON

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Dean tonight


Dean made landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula in the pre-dawn hours this a.m. as a Cat 5 hurricane with max sustained winds of 165 mph.

The above was a visible sattelite image taked this evening as Dean emerged into the Bay of Campeche. He is now a Cat 1 storm but the presentation on sat was very impressive.

Landfall of Dean


Dean made landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula as a Cat 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 165 mph and a minimum central pressure of 906 mb.

James Spann noted the following:
*Dean was still strengthening at the time of landfall
*Dean is the first hurricane to be at category five status at the time of
landfall since Andrew in 1992

*The central pressure of 906 mb is the ninth lowest on record for an
Atlantic basin hurricane

*Dean has the third lowest pressure of an Atlantic basin hurricane
at the time of landfall, behind the 1935 Labor Day hurricane in the
Florida Keys, and Hurricane Gilbert in 1988

HURRICANE DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007

DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR
THE CRUISE SHIP PORT OF COSTA MAYA AROUND 0830 UTC...AND THE EYE IS
NOW JUST INLAND. OBSERVATIONS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE INDICATE THAT THE HURRICANE WAS INTENSIFYING RIGHT UP TO
LANDFALL. A PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 165 KT WAS MEASURED JUST
NORTH OF THE EYE. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SFMR WERE 124
KT...BUT IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THE MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED
WAS NOT REPORTED BY THE SFMR INSTRUMENT. A GPS DROPSONDE IN THE
NORTHERN EYEWALL MEASURED A WIND SPEED OF 178 KT AVERAGED OVER THE
LOWEST 150 METERS OF THE SOUNDING. BASED ON THE DROPSONDE AND THE
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 145 KT. A DROPSONDE
IN THE EYE MEASURED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 906 MB JUST PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. SOME HISTORIC NOTES ARE IN ORDER HERE. THE 906 MB
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS THE NINTH LOWEST ON RECORD FOR AN ATLANTIC
BASIN HURRICANE...AND THE THIRD LOWEST AT LANDFALL BEHIND THE 1935
LABOR DAY HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND HURRICANE GILBERT OF
1988 IN CANCUN MEXICO. DEAN IS ALSO THE FIRST CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN SINCE ANDREW OF
1992.

DEAN WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRAVERSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
THE AMOUNT OF WEAKENING WILL DEPEND ON HOW LONG THE CENTER REMAINS
OVER LAND. OUR CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL STILL BE
A BORDERLINE CAT 1/2 HURRICANE WHEN IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST.
ASSUMING THAT THE INNER CORE IS NOT TOO DISRUPTED BY ITS
INTERACTION WITH LAND...DEAN SHOULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS
BEFORE ITS FINAL LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO.

INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 285/17. DEEP LAYER HIGH PRESSURE
NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD STEER THE HURRICANE ON A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD HEADING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE.

THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
COASTLINE OF MEXICO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/0900Z 18.7N 87.8W 145 KT
12HR VT 21/1800Z 19.1N 90.4W 85 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 22/0600Z 19.6N 93.9W 95 KT...OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE
36HR VT 22/1800Z 20.1N 96.8W 105 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 23/0600Z 20.5N 100.0W 25 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN

Monday, August 20, 2007

Late Monday night look at Dean


Dean is poised to make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula. Sustained winds were 160 mph with gusts to 195 mph. The minimum central pressure measured by the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft was 914mb or 26.99 inches.

From the NHC Discussion:
HURRICANE DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

DEAN HAS TAPPED INTO ENERGY PROVIDED BY THE DEEP WARM WATERS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS EVENING...AND HAS REACHED CATEGORY
FIVE STATUS WITH AN INTENSITY OF 140 KT. DURING THE LAST
PENETRATION BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
AT 00Z...A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 914 MB WAS MEASURED. THE PEAK
FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND WAS 162 KT...WHICH CORRESPONDS TO ABOUT 145 KT AT
THE SURFACE. DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS...WE HAVE NOT RECEIVED
ALL OF THE DROPSONDE AND SFMR DATA IN REAL-TIME. THE ADVISORY
INTENSITY IS SET TO A POSSIBLY CONSERVATIVE 140 KT...PENDING A MORE
THOROUGH EXAMINATION OF ALL OF THE AIRCRAFT DATA. ANOTHER AIRCRAFT
WILL ARRIVE IN THE EYE OF DEAN IN A FEW HOURS...PRIOR TO LANDFALL
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE EVOLVING
SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF DEAN REVEALS AN INCREASINGLY SYMMETRIC
CONVECTIVE PATTERN...AND A VERY WELL-DEFINED AND GRADUALLY
CONTRACTING EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF ABOUT 20 N MI. REPORTS FROM THE
AIRCRAFT...AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY...PROVIDE NO
INDICATIONS OF ANY INNER-CORE STRUCTURAL CHANGES THAT WOULD LEAD TO
WEAKENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE
STATUS DURING ITS ENTIRE STAY OVER YUCATAN...AND IT COULD STILL
REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BEFORE FINAL
LANDFALL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE GENERALLY REMAINS ON TRACK WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF
275/17. A STRENGTHENING RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
SHOULD CONTINUE TO PUSH DEAN ROUGHLY ALONG THIS SAME HEADING AND
SPEED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS UNTIL DISSIPATION OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AGAIN ADJUSTED TO THE SOUTH
IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WELL-ESTABLISHED HEADING...AND TO
BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL...GFS...AND
NOGAPS MODELS. ALONG THE NEW TRACK...DEAN WILL SPEND A LITTLE LESS
TIME OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...AND WILL PASS A LITTLE CLOSER TO
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC DURING THE 24-36
HOUR PERIOD. AS A RESULT...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.

Dean is now a Cat 5 Hurricane


Just in from the NHC:
"HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 835 PM
AST MON AUG 20 2007

DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 160 MPHMAKING DEAN A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
$$ FORECASTER KNABB"

The minimum central pressure has dropped to 914 mb. That makes Dean the 10th strongest hurricane in Atlantic Basin history!

30th Anniversary of Superoutbreak 4/3/1974


H.D. Bagley


Mr. and Mrs. Bagley


J.B. Elliott


Jay Shelley and J.B. Elliott


H.D. Bagley


H.D. Bagley


My photos from the 30th Anniversary memorial of the Superoutbreak taken at Athens State University on April 3, 2004.

Sunday, August 19, 2007

Fri / Sat high temps

Friday the heat backed off just slightly across Alabama as storms erupted in the afternoon.

104 FLORENCE
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
102 VINEMONT SCHOOL (101.5) .96" of rain in a late afternoon thunderstorm
102 TUSCALOOSA
102 SCOTTSBORO
102 MONTGOMERY (COOP OBS)
102 HUNTSVILLE - AIRPORT
101 RUSSELLVILLE
101 MONTGOMERY
101 MADISON - NORTH
101 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
101 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
101 HAMILTON
101 DECATUR - AIRPORT
101 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
101 ATHENS WATER PLANT
101 ANDERSON
100 PINSON
100 LIVINGSTON
100 HACKNEYVILLE (TALAPOOSA)
100 FORT PAYNE
100 ELLISVILLE / CHEROKEE

Saturday the heat backed off a little more:

105 PINSON
102 HELENA
101 SCOTTSBORO
101 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
101 FLORENCE
101 BIRMINGHAM INTL
101 ATHENS WATER PLANT
100 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
100 MANCHESTER/WALKER
100 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
100 HORSESHOE BEND/TALLAPOOSA
100 HAMILTON
100 HACKNEYVILLE/TALLAPOOSA
100 GAYLESVILLE/CHEROKEE
100 ANNISTON
100 VINEMONT SCHOOL (99.5)

Sunday afternoon Dean update


From the National Hurricane Center:

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DEAN SCRAPING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
JAMAICA...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS
LOCATED...ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH

DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM
THE CENTER

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.46 IN.

From Stormcarib.com:

Yep, you guessed it! DEAN came to visit me at home about 2 hours ago and he
hasn't stopped reworking the roofs, awnings, trees (at least what's left of
them) and the likes. Lights out ... Sending from mobile blackberry. Water also
gone but Both telecoms giants still up and going strong.

Updates as I have it ...
St. Thomas - high waves, consistent strong winds. Impassable main roads.

Kingston - much breeze, minimal rain, some of my neighbors are now without
awnings and satellite dishes ... Don't ask why they weren't down ... Everyone
else took theirs down two nights ago! Reports of 12ft waves on the waterfront
... No proof but not impossible ... And I certainly don't expect them less than
9ft anyway! Some roofs are lifting but none gone as yet ...

Manchester/St. Elizabeth - Sporadic gusts, average rainfall, 10ft waves in
Treasure Beach area. No consistent presence of DEAN as yet for the inland areas
though.

Ocho Rios - Winds are up, waves are high, minimal rainfall at this time, a few
trees down ... Sue you are probably in a better position for this area ...

Montego Bay/Negril - waves growing, average winds, not yet scary but gusty! Not
many persons on the road ... (this is good). Projections for the western end of
the island are not good!

More later!Richard M.Sent via BlackBerry.

Just in from Jamaica:
Just went for another stroll - winds are gusty but not bad, no rain. Surprised with how likkle rain we are experiencing in the Ochi areaThe sea has some serious surf happening, not seeing any rise in the level - am watching that carefully
power went out again and I thought ok, this is the shut down, surprised when it came back including the cable, so we will appreciate it for as long as we have it. I received a call about 30 minutes ago from the security who are stationed at the helipad - a vehicle just went through the fence injuring both occupants, broke the electric pole and destroyed portions of the heavy concrete columns and 2.5 inch steel cables - this is the 2nd one in 2 days. The roads are damp and slippery, many of them have brand new surfaces, so driving must be with care. Fortunately the aircraft are tucked away in their beds, or it would have been a different situation. Can hear the winds kicking up again - so would expect some more rain squalls shortly stay safe everyone - and to our neighbours west, make sure that there are no fishermen out anywhere, tis the time for them to come in and batten down. Nothing is worth risking or losing life over. Sue M



1 p.m. Sun Aug 19 Dean Update

Latest radar from Jamaica


Latest visible sattelite of Dean

BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007
...CORE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DEAN NEARING JAMAICA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN JAMAICA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. PREPARATIONS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM WEST OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE. THIS WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CHETUMAL TO SAN FELIPE ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING BELIZE...AND IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 125 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DEAN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER JAMAICA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. EASTERN CUBA COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...17.1 N...76.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME

Dean approaches Jamaica this morning



It is currently clouding up in Montego Bay,but nostrong winds and rain.Many areas in the Eastern end of the Island arecurrently experiencing tropical storm conditions.Wella little bit of good news the current track sparesus a direct hit,but hurricane conditions are stilllikely especially southern parishes.On nationwide radio, many people are reportingtropical storm conditions.There are already reports of 20ft waves offshore thesouthern coast and still many people refuse toevacuateOur local radio station is currently streaminglive online,even if God forbid Dean should starttrcking wnw instead of west and hit us they willcontinue broadcasting through the storm.

The latest report from the NWS reporting station in Kingston, Jamaica at 11 a.m. CT showed the following conditions for Kingston:

Temp 77
Dew Point 73
Pressure 29.65" or 1004 mb
Winds WNW at 10 mph
Light Rain
Here is a link to a good radar site for Jamaica. The eye is just beginning to emerge on the radar.

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Saturday night Dean update


Pressure is down to 918 mb and max sustained winds are 150 mph. Winds may increase to Cat 5 status before he strikes Jamaica.

Saturday morning Dean update

At 10 a.m. CDT
Location: 565 miles ESE of Kingston, Jamaica
Motion: west at 17 m.p.h
Maximum sustained winds…150 MPH
Minimum central pressure…929 MB...earlier it was at 924 mb

Friday night/Sat morning Dean update

At 1 a.m...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...
240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 930
MB...27.46 INCHES.

Friday, August 17, 2007

Fri night - latest on Cat 4 Dean


At 8:15 p.m. central time tonight, pressure is 937 mb, winds 145 mph.

Dean upgraded to Cat 4!


HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBERTPC/NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
800 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...MAXIMUM WIND SPEED TO 135 MPH...

Interruption


I will interrupt my posts about heat and hurricanes for a little severe weather coverage. As I was driving southward on I-65 this evening after work I ran smack dab into a severe thunderstorm in Northern Cullman. I called in a report to the NWS Huntsville that was used in the text of a warning here:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
518 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007

CULLMAN AL-
518 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR CULLMAN COUNTY...

AT 518 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS NEAR CULLMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GOOD HOPE...PHELAN...WALTER AND HANCEVILLE.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE WITHIN THE CITY OF
CULLMAN...AND DIME SIZED HAIL ALONG INTERSTATE 65. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

BCC

James Spann posted my pictures of a tree that was struck by lightning here, "Wicked Lightning".

Bill Murray posted my report on Alabamawx.com here: Cullman County Storms have meant business August 17, 2007, 5:44 pm

NWS relays public report of trees and power lines down in Cullman city.

Our weather watcher, Mike Wilhelm, from Vinemont reported it was a ferocious storm. 0.92 inches of rain at his location. Incredible lightning display. Dime sized hail of I-65 and AL-157. Some local flooding and small tree down at Vinemont School.

Storms have weakened over the county. A severe thunderstorm warning does remain in effect for northeastern Cullman until 6 p.m.

A new severe thunderstorm warning has been issued for eastern Winston County including the town of Arley until 6:30 p.m.

Watch out for torrential rains, deadly lightning and wind gusts to 60 mph.

Isolated storms are across the rest of the state late this afternoon.

Thursday's highs

The heat wave continued with a vengeance yesterday in Alabama. Following are NWS observations, NWS cooperative observer reports, and NWS automated stations. I also threw my own observation into the list!

107 HAMILTON
107 BELLE MINA
106 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
106 MUSCLE SHOALS
106 FLORENCE
105 VINEMONT - SCHOOL
105 RUSSELLVILLE
105 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
105 HUNTSVILLE - AIRPORT
105 ANDERSON
104 UNION GROVE
104 SCOTTSBORO
104 PINSON
104 ONEONTA
104 MONTGOMERY
104 HANCEVILLE
104 DESOTO STATE PARK - WEST
104 DECATUR - AIRPORT
104 CENTREVILLE
104 ATHENS WATER PLANT
104 ANNISTON
103 TUSCALOOSA
103 TALLADEGA
103 RUSSELL CAVE NAT MON
103 JASPER
103 FORT PAYNE
103 CULLMAN AG STATION
103 BIRMINGHAM INTL
103 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
103 ALEXANDER CITY
102 SELMA
102 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
102 LIVINGSTON
102 CROSSVILLE AG STN
102 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
102 CLANTON
101 VALLEY HEAD
101 HELENA
100 VINEMONT - CULLMAN ARPT
100 VALLEY HEAD - WATER BD
100 HACKNEYVILLE/TALLAPOOSA
100 GUNTERSVILLE - WTWX-FM
100 FYFFE
100 EVERGREEN
100 ELLISVILLE/CHEROKEE
100 CALERA
100 AUBURN
100 ALBERTVILLE - AIRPORT

Educated long-range guesstimate on Dean

This is a pretty tough call this far in advance. The high pressure ridge in the Deep South has been particularly strong and persistent. Because of that I do not think Dean can turn too far north into the Gulf. On the other hand, models do seem to be pushing the storm gradually farther north with every run.

There is no doubt that Dean will become a major hurricane as he travels over the very warm waters of the Caribbean. A big factor for his future strength will be how much time Dean spends traveling over the Yucatan Peninsula. That will depend on his forward speed and how far north he goes. He has been moving at a fairly rapid clip and he may just brush the northern tip of the Yucatan. I am going to say that he will barely clip the northern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula, lose a little punch, then emerge into the northern Bay of Campeche / southern Gulf of Mexico area and strengthen.

A few days later he will:
1. Make landfall on or near South Padre Island, Texas.
2. Maximum sustained winds will be 135 mph.
3. Minimum central pressure will be 925 mb.

Just a semi-educated guess!

Dean update


Here is an excerpt from this morning's advisory on Dean from the NHC:


BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 800 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...DEAN POUNDING MARTINIQUE AND DOMINICA...HEADING FOR THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA... MARTINIQUE... DOMINICA...AND GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 61.7 WEST OR 50 MILES...80 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MARTINIQUE.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD TAKE THE CENTER OF DEAN AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. FORT-DE-FRANCE ON MARTINIQUE RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 87 MPH...143 KM/HR...WHILE DOMINICA REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/HR.

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE JUST MEASURED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DEAN IN THE LESSER ANTILLES. ACROSS PUERTO RICO...STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Dean upgraded to hurricane status overnight


Here is an excerpt from the latest advisory on Dean from the National Hurricane Center:

BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A...
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007800 AM AST THU AUG 16 2007

...STRENGTHENING DEAN SPEEDS TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF DOMINICA AND ST. LUCIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST OR ABOUT 415 MILES... 665 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 510 MILES...820 KM...EAST OFMARTINIQUE. DEAN IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DEAN NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THENEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE DEAN THIS AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA

Wednesday's highs

Can you believe this? This may be the biggest heatwave in a few generations. The only saving grace has been the relatively low humidity. Dew points seem to be slowly on the rise, though, as the week progresses. Here are yesterday's high temperatures from official NWS sites, NWS Cooperative Observers, NWS automated stations, and ABC 33/40 Weather Watchers.

109 HAMILTON
108 MOUNDVILLE - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
108 FAYETTE (SOUTHSIDE) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
107 PINSON
107 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
107 HELENA
107 FLORENCE
107 EUTAW - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
107 DEMOPOLIS - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
106 VINEMONT (SCHOOL) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
106 TUSCALOOSA
106 SAMANTHA (TUSCALOOSA CO) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
106 RUSSELLVILLE
106 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
106 HANCEVILLE
106 COLUMBIANA - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
105 RHODESVILLE
105 MONTGOMERY
105 JASPER
105 INVERNESS - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
105 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
105 HUNTSVILLE - AIRPORT
105 GARDENDALE - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
105 COTTONDALE (PEARL) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
105 CENTREVILLE
105 CALERA
105 BIRMINGHAM INTL
105 ALABASTER - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
104 TRUSSVILLE - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
104 OWENS CROSSROADS
104 ONEONTA
104 LIVINGSTON
104 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
104 GADSDEN
104 DECATUR - AIRPORT
104 CULLMAN - AUTO AG STN
104 CONCORD - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
104 CHELSEA (HWY 43 FOREST PARKS) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
104 BLACK CREEK (NE ETOWAH CO) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
104 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
104 ATHENS WATER PLANT
104 ANNISTON
103 UNION GROVE
103 TALLADEGA
103 SELMA
103 MOULTON
103 MCCALLA (MILLION DOLLAR LAKES) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
103 MADISON - NORTH
103 JEMISON - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
103 JASPER - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
103 HAMILTON (STRATUS STATION) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
103 DESOTO STATE PARK - WEST
103 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
103 BIRMINGHAM (CRUMLY CHAPEL) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
103 ALEXANDER CITY
102 WEAVER - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 VINEMONT - CULLMAN ARPT
102 SHELBY SHORES - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 SCOTTSBORO - AIRPORT
102 RUSSELLVILLE - AIRPORT
102 RUSSELL CAVE NAT MON
102 OXFORD - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 MUSCADINE - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
102 GADSDEN (NOCCALULA FALLS) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 FORT PAYNE
102 FAYETTEVILLE - AIRPORT
102 CORDOVA - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
102 COLLINSVILLE
102 ASHLAND
101 TROY
101 MORRIS - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
101 GUNTERSVILLE - WTWX-FM
101 EVERGREEN
101 CLAY (DEERFOOT PKWY) - ABC 33/40 WEATHER WATCHER
101 CHILDERSBURG/TALLADEGA
100 VALLEY HEAD - WATER BD
100 FYFFE
100 DOTHAN
100 CROSSVILLE AG STN
100 AUBURN
100 ALBERTVILLE - AIRPORT

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Temperature discussion

I have gone back and read some posts of weather geeks like me on talkweather.com. Since I was at work today I didn't follow this thread at the time, but it is interesting to look back.

10:32 a.m. Daniel Lamb said, "We're warming up faster today than we have any other day in the heat wave here. Muscle Shoals has already reached 98, Vinemont/Cullman Airport is already up to 97, and Winchester TN was 95 at the top of the hour. Legit high temps over 105 in some parts of our CWA would not surprise me this afternoon, especially if there is little to no cu field."

10:37 a.m. Stormlover said, " already 97 at East Limestone,where I have my weatherbug set....wow already 102 at Decatur, 101 at Priceville and Florence, 100 at Sheffield, and 99 at Athens well before 11AM.(weatherbug stations)"

10:42 a.m. Cal said, "This is truly incredible. 97 at my house right now in metro Huntsville. I have never dreamed of such an expansive, long-lived heat wave."

10:57 a.m. Daniel Lamb said, " Muscle Shoals just hit 100 two minutes after the 11 AM ob. The record for today is 103. How long will it take?"

11:30 a.m. Cal said, " I am at 100.5 now"

11:44 a.m. Jessica said, " It has already hit 100.2 here. Waaaayyyyy earlier than any other day in this heatwave."

12:05 p.m. Daniel Lamb said, " Muscle Shoals just tied the old record of 103...before noon."

12:12 p.m. Cal said, "My boy David Hall has gone with an official high of 108 for KHSV today .....I would have never had the nerve to do this. He very well be right folks..."

12:17 p.m. Vic said, "Even over here in NE Alabama, on the fringe of the really severe heat, I've reached 101.2 already. Like the rest of you, that's much earlier than the last week or so and is tied with yesterdays' high for the second hottest day this year. Only Monday was warmer at 103, and I'm thinking I might break that."

12:49 p.m. Daniel Lamb said, "Muscle Shoals just hit 104, breaking the record. Now, how much higher will she go?"

1:04 p.m. Drew said, "Up to 103 here as of 1pm. This is crazy heat."

1:43 p.m. Stormlover said, "106 at East Limestone and from the looks in the post above, in Florence too."

1:46 p.m. Vic said, "Currently: 103.6 on both my Lacrosse and my Radio Shack, located sixty-six feet apart."

1:47 p.m. Drew said, "Indeed. Up to 106 here now. This is the hottest temp I've EVER recorded since owning a weather station for 12 years."

2:24 p.m. Daniel Lamb said, "Not only did we break the daily record at Muscle Shoals. The high so far (106) ties for the second highest temperature in Muscle Shoals since records began there."

2:38 p.m. will2006 from Florence said, "Currently 107.1, and its the high for the day so far too"

3:03 p.m. braveheart from Glencoe said, "current and high:103(highest this summer for me)

4:31 Matt Grantham from Phenix City said, "Currently 98.0, High 102.3, Low 68.8, 20 Straight 90s or higher."

5:21 p.m. Drew from Florence said, "High 106.5º at 1:43pm. Currently holding at 105º."

6:18 p.m. htbaseballfan088 from Trussville said, "105.6 here"

6:33 p.m. Vic from Black Creek in Etowah County said, "High: 104 at 3:25 pm, Low: 62.7 at 6:12 am Currently: 96.6"

Wednesday's records

RECORD EVENT REPORT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
626 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT MUSCLE SHOALS...

AT 240 PM CDT...THE TEMPERATURE AT NORTHWEST ALABAMA REGIONAL
AIRPORT IN MUSCLE SHOALS REACHED 107 DEGREES. THIS BROKE THE
PREVIOUS RECORD OF 103 DEGREES SET IN 1954.

THIS NOW STANDS ALONE AS THE SECOND HIGHEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED AT
MUSCLE SHOALS SINCE RECORDS BEGAN THERE IN 1893. THE ALL TIME RECORD
HIGH AT MUSCLE SHOALS IS 108 DEGREES...WHICH OCCURRED SIX
TIMES...WITH THE LAST TIME BEING ON AUGUST 8TH 1930.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
625 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT HUNTSVILLE...

AT 219 PM CDT...THE TEMPERATURE AT HUNTSVILLE REACHED 105 DEGREES.
THIS TIED THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 105 DEGREES SET IN 1954.

106.3


Wow! What else is a weather geek to say! I got home from work today and the first thing I did was set my book and papers down on my desk, take off my sunglasses, and check my thermometer. On days like this you tend to doubt your own equipment! But when you learn that surrounding areas reported similar readings and you know your equipment and its location are sound, you are just amazed. This was the hottest day of my life! It was still 100 degrees a few minutes ago, just after 6 p.m.!

More highs from Tuesday...

Below is a list of 60 observations from within the State of Alabama where yesterday's temperature met or exceeded the 100 degree mark. These reports are made up of information gleaned from official NWS sites, NWS Cooperative Observer sites, NWS Automated sites, and ABC 33/40 Weather Watcher reports.


A few all time records were set or tied yesterday for most consecutive days at or above one hundred degrees. Birmingham and Tuscaloosa tied the all time record with their eighth consecutive 100-degree day.

107 NORTHPORT - WX WATCHER
106 TUSCALOOSA
106 MOUNDVILLE - WX WATCHER
106 MONTGOMERY
106 HELENA
106 CENTREVILLE
105 VINEMONT SCHOOL - WX WATCHER
105 HAMILTON
105 FAYETTE - WX WATCHER
105 CALERA
104 TROY
104 SELMA
104 PINSON
104 MCCALLA - WX WATCHER
104 LIVINGSTON
104 INVERNESS - WX WATCHER
104 GARDENDALE - WX WATCHER
104 FLORENCE
104 EVERGREEN
104 COTTONDALE - WX WATCHER
104 BIRMINGHAM INTL
104 BESSEMER - WX WATCHER
104 ANNISTON
103 SYCAMORE - TALLADEGA - WX WATCHER
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
103 HUNTSVILLE - AIRPORT
103 GADSDEN
103 CLANTON
102 SHELBY SHORES - WX WATCHER
102 OWENS CROSSROADS
102 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
102 MADISON - NORTH
102 JEMISON - WX WATCHER
102 JASPER
102 HANCEVILLE
102 DOTHAN
102 DECATUR - AIRPORT
102 CULLMAN AG STATION
102 CHELSEA - WX WATCHER
102 ATHENS WATER PLANT
102 ASHLAND
102 ANDERSON
102 ALABASTER - SHELBY - WX WATCHER
101 UNION GROVE
101 SCOTTSBORO
101 RUSSELLVILLE
101 RHODESVILLE
101 MORRIS - WX WATCHER
101 JASPER - WX WATCHER
101 BLACK CREEK - ETOWAH - WX WATCHER
101 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
100 WEAVER - WX WATCHER
100 MOULTON
100 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
100 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
100 DESOTO STATE PARK - WEST
100 DEARMANVILLE/CALHOUN
100 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
100 CHILDERSBURG/TALLADEGA
100 AUBURN

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Tuesday's highs

Today in Cullman County:
Low 69.8
High 104.5
At 5:13 it is still 102.0
No Rain

From the NWS:
A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 106 DEGREES WAS SET AT TUSCALOOSA TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 103 SET IN 1954.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 106 DEGREES WAS SET AT MONTGOMERY TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 103 SET IN 1954.
A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 104 DEGREES WAS SET AT BIRMINGHAM TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 1995.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 104 DEGREES WAS SET AT ANNISTON TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 99 SET IN 1976.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 103 DEGREES WAS SET AT THE HUNTSVILLE
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TODAY. THIS TIED THE OLD RECORD OF 103...LAST
SET IN 1954.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 103 DEGREES WAS SET AT
THE NORTHWEST ALABAMA REGIONAL AIRPORT IN MUSCLE SHOALS TODAY. THIS
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 1954.

Tropical Storm Dean


A few minutes ago the National Hurricane Center stated that Tropical Storm Dean has formed midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

Monday, August 13, 2007

Hurricane Charley








My series of hurricane stories continues today with one of the worst on record, Hurricane Charley. Charley made landfall in southwest Florida August 13, 2004.

A few facts about Charley:



Charley lasted from August 9-15, 2004 peaking as a 150 mph Category 4 hurricane.

He crossed Cuba
as a Category 3 hurricane, causing heavy damage and 4 deaths.

On August 13
, the hurricane crossed over the Dry Tortugas, less than 24 hours after Hurricane Bonnie struck NW Florida. This was the first time in history that two hurricanes struck the same state in a 24 hour time period.

At its peak intensity of 150 mph Hurricane Charley struck Captiva Island
in southwest Florida causing severe damage.

Charley continued to produce severe damage as it made landfall near Port Charlotte
, Florida with winds of 145 mph and a central pressure of 941 mb.

He passed through East Orlando
with wind gusts of 105 mph.

Throughout the United States, Charley directly caused 15 casualties.

Charley caused $15 billion in damage making it the fourth costliest hurricane in United States history.

On mainland Florida, Charley produced a storm surge peaking at 10-13 feet at Vanderbilt Beach near naples.


Rainfall peaked at 9.88 inches in Bud Slough in sarasota County.

Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte were leveled. Trailer parks were destroyed as far inland as Orlando.

A few links:

Chase Account by Mike Theiss

Photos


Photos

Satellite animation of landfall

Monday's highs

This was the hottest day of my life. Today's weather in North Cullman County:
Low 70.9
High 104.9
No Rain
At 5 p.m. the temperature is 101.

Here is a list compliled from the three NWS offices in Alabama (Huntsville, Birmingham, Mobile) and Talahasse, FL, which serves SE Alabama:

106 HAMILTON
105 TUSCALOOSA
105 PINSON
105 MUSCLE SHOALS - AIRPORT
105 MONTGOMERY
105 FLORENCE
104 MONTGOMERY
104 HUNTSVILLE - AIRPORT
104 CENTREVILLE
103 RHODESVILLE/LAUDERDALE
103 OWENS CROSSROADS
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
103 HELENA
103 DECATUR - AIRPORT
103 BIRMINGHAM INTL
102 SELMA
102 SELMA
102 SCOTTSBORO
102 LIVINGSTON
102 JASPER
102 HANCEVILLE
102 FORT PAYNE
102 FAYETTE
102 CLANTON
102 CALERA
102 ATHENS WATER PLANT
102 ANNISTON
102 ANDERSON
101 UNION GROVE
101 TALLADEGA
101 MADISON - NORTH
101 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
101 COLLINSVILLE
101 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
101 ASHLAND
101 ALEXANDER CITY
100 ONEONTA
100 MUSCLE SHOALS
100 MOULTON
100 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
100 MANCHESTER/WALKER
100 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
100 GUNTERSVILLE - WTWX-FM
100 GUNTERSVILLE
100 EVERGREEN
100 DESOTO STATE PARK - WEST
100 DEARMANVILLE/CALHOUN
100 CULLMAN AG STATION
100 CROSSVILLE - CRN
100 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
100 CHILDERSBURG/TALLADEGA

Here are some more highs from J.B. Elliot of Alabamawx.com:
100 Crumly Chapel
101 Jemison
101 Concord/Hueytown
101 Shelby Shores
102 Alabaster (Navajo Pines)
102 Clay
105 Vinemont
106 Demopolis

TD 4 has formed...


...in the far eastern Atlantic. Lots of weather to watch the next few weeks!

Record heat continues in Alabama

The heat has been historic in Alabama this month. All time records have already been set and it appears likely that more will fall this week.

On Friday August 10, Tuscaloosa tied their all-time record high temperature of 107, which was previously reached in 1952.

As of Sunday August 12, Montgomery had reached 100 degrees or higher seven consecutive days which ties the previous record which was set in 1881, 1954, and 1990.

Birmingham has reported six consecutive days at 100 degrees or higher. The record is eight from 1980.

Anniston has also reached the century mark six consecutive days and their record is eight, set back in 1952.

Tuscaloosa has been at 100 or higher six consecutive days and their record is eight.

If forecasts are correct, all of these records will be broken this week.

Many folks are wondering what is causing these extremely high temperatures. I would suggest that it is a combination of at least two factors. First, Alabama is situated beneath a strong ridge of high pressure. This ridge is keeping the atmosphere capped, reducing the possibility of scattered storms and it is inhibiting any upper level winds from transporting modified air into the area.

The second factor, I believe, is the extreme drought conditions that we have been experiencing. Many areas in North and Central Alabama are over 20” below normal rainfall. The dry ground heats much quicker and this heat is transferred to the air near the surface. If the ground was moist, much of that heat energy would be absorbed by the moisture rather than radiating back into the air. Tim Coleman wrote an interesting piece about this phenomenon here.

We have experienced 10 days in a row with high temperatures exceeding 97 degrees in northern Cullman County.

Date Reading Rounded Rainfall
Friday 8/3/07 97.7 (98) .16”
Saturday 8/4/07 97.0 (97)
Sunday 8/5/07 97.9 (98)
Monday 8/6/07 97.9 (98)
Tuesday 8/7/07 99.1 (99)
Wednesday 8/8/07 100.9 (101)
Thursday 8/9/07 101.0 (101)
Friday 8/10/07 97.7 (98) .04”
Saturday 8/11/07 102.6 (103)
Sunday 8/12/07 102.9 (103)

One interesting note about these temperatures is that the weather felt more comfortable this weekend despite the highs of 103. After a round of storms blew through Friday afternoon, the air became much drier. This reinforced my belief that humidity is a bigger factor than heat in making the air uncomfortable.

It looks like we are in for several more days of excessive heat in Alabama. Records will be the only thing falling around here related to temperatures.

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Sunday's highs

100 Anniston (record)
101 Huntsville (record)
101 Mobile (record)
102 Muscle Shoals (record)
102 Birmingham (record)
105 Tuscaloosa (record)
106 Montgomery (record)

103 here in Vinemont

Here are some more high temperatures from NWS Cooperative Observer sites:

105 HELENA
104 HAMILTON
103 SELMA
103 LIVINGSTON
103 FLORENCE
102 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
101 RUSSELLVILLE
101 JASPER
101 HANCEVILLE
101 DECATUR - AIRPORT
101 BELLE MINA
101 ATHENS WATER PLANT
101 ANDERSON
101 ALEXANDER CITY
100 UNION GROVE
100 TALLADEGA
100 SCOTTSBORO
100 OWENS CROSSROADS
100 MADISON - NORTH
100 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
100 HORSESHOE BEND
100 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
100 GAYLESVILLE
100 CHILDERSBURG
100 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST

Temps rising Sunday afternoon

Today's high was 103 (102.9) after a low of 66.7.

1:00 pm 100
2:00 pm 102
3:00 pm 103
4:00 pm 101
5:00 pm 100

Fron NWS Huntsville:
AT 220 PM CDT...THE TEMPERATURE AT HUNTSVILLE REACHED 101 DEGREES.
THIS TIES THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 101 DEGREES SET IN 1956 AND 1932.
AN ADDITIONAL STATEMENT WILL BE SENT LATER TODAY WHEN THE HIGH
BECOMES OFFICIAL...OR IF THE TEMPERATURE RISES FURTHER.
AT 247 PM CDT...THE TEMPERATURE AT NORTHWEST ALABAMA REGIONAL
AIRPORT IN MUSCLE SHOALS REACHED 102 DEGREES. THIS TIES THE PREVIOUS
RECORD OF 102 DEGREES SET IN 1999. AN ADDITIONAL STATEMENT WILL BE
SENT LATER TODAY WHEN THE HIGH BECOMES OFFICIAL...OR IF THE
TEMPERATURE RISES FURTHER.
more to come.....

Saturday's highs

Saturday was our hottest day in North Cullman County in years. The high at my place was 102.6 after a morning low of 68.2 It was much more comfortable than recent days because the humidity was much lower.

Other highs included:

100 Decatur
100 Dothan
100 Huntsville
101 Mobile
101 Muscle Shoals
102 Anniston (record)
102 Auburn
102 Birmingham (record)
102 Evergreen
103 Calera
105 Troy
105 Pinson (record)
105 Tuscaloosa (record)
106 Montgomery (record)

Here are some additional reports from Birmingham and Huntsville NWS Cooperative Observer sites:

107 MONTGOMERY
104 SELMA
104 CENTREVILLE
103 HELENA
103 CLANTON
102 HAMILTON
102 FLORENCE
101 TALLADEGA
101 GADSDEN
101 ASHLAND
100 WADLEY/RANDOLPH
100 UNION GROVE
100 SCOTTSBORO
100 RUSSELLVILLE
100 RHODESVILLE
100 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
100 MANCHESTER/WALKER
100 JASPER
100 HANCEVILLE
100 GAYLESVILLE/CHEROKEE
100 DEARMANVILLE/CALHOUN
100 CORDOVA/WALKER
100 CHILDERSBURG/TALLADEGA
100 ATHENS WATER PLANT
100 ANDERSON

Record event reports from the NWS Birmingham:

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 105 DEGREES WAS SET AT TUSCALOOSA
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 102 SET IN 1954.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 102 DEGREES WAS SET AT ANNISTON
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 1956.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 106 DEGREES WAS SET AT MONTGOMERY
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 1954.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 102 DEGREES WAS SET AT BIRMINGHAM YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 99 SET IN 1999.

Saturday, August 11, 2007

101 and climbing

It's already up to 101 here in North Cullman County as of 1:30 p.m.

As of 2:00 it was up to 101.7 degrees!

Friday, August 10, 2007

Friday's highs

107 Tuscaloosa (Ties an all time record for any date)
106 Montgomery (Record)
104 Muscle Shoals (Record)
103 Florence
103 Huntsville (Record)
102 Decatur
102 Birmingham (Record)
102 Anniston (Record)

Here are some additional reports from Huntsville and Birmingham NWS Cooperative Observers:

107 MONTGOMERY
104 HAMILTON
104 FLORENCE
103 SELMA
103 MUSCLE SHOALS - TVA RSRV
103 LIVINGSTON
103 HELENA
103 DECATUR - AIRPORT
103 CLANTON
103 BANKHEAD NATL FOREST
103 ASHLAND
103 ANDERSON
102 RUSSELLVILLE
102 HUNTSVILLE - UAH
102 ATHENS WATER PLANT
101 MADISON - NORTH
101 JASPER
101 HARVEST - SOUTHEAST
101 HANCEVILLE
101 GADSDEN
101 DESOTO STATE PARK - WEST
101 COURTLAND - AIRPORT
100 UNION GROVE
100 RUSSELLVILLE - AIRPORT
100 MERIDIANVILLE - AIRPORT
100 HACKNEYVILLE/TALLAPOOSA
100 FORT PAYNE
100 DEARMANVILLE/CALHOUN
100 CORDOVA/WALKER
100 CHILDERSBURG/TALLADEGA

RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
HUNTSVILLE AL 544 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2007
...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HUNTSVILLE...
A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 103 DEGREES WAS SET AT
HUNTSVILLE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF
102 SET IN 1956.

It was just yesterday that Nick Saban banned the use of the word "heat" for the Crimson Tide football team. It must have been brutal on the Alabama football practice field in Tuscaloosa!

Friday's storms

Today in North Cullman County

Low 77.2
High 97.7
Rain .04"

Report from my son David:

My children have reported some storm damage near Harmony School in extreme western Cullman County, west of Logan and north of the Crane Hill community. They saw many large limbs down and damage to a shed near the school. This must have occurred before 3 p.m.

I got back in touch with my son David (my 13 year old) after I lost his signal. He reported that the storm came through a little before 2 PM and that there was some damage to the roof shingles at the school (Harmony), torrential rainfall, lightning, etc. He was in a portable clasroom and he said that the wind was shaking it around quite a bit. He said it actually felt a bit chilly after the storm went through but an hour later it was back up into the mid to upper 90's.

J.B. Elliott's post

Thursday's highs

Here are some of yesterday's high temperatures, compiled by J.B. Elliott of Alabamawx.com. These are a combination of official NWS observations, ABC 33/40 Weather Watchers, and ABC 33/40 Skycam sites. This was the hottest day in North and Central Alabama in seven years!

105 Vestavia
105 Pinson
105 Alabaster
104 Pelham
104 Montgomery
104 Meadowbrook, Columbiana, East Trussville
103 Shelby Shores
103 Demopolis
103 Attalla
103 Anniston, Birmingham, Shelby County Airport, Troy, Tuscaloosa
102 McCalla (Million Dollar Lakes)
102 Helena
102 Greystone Farms (morning low a very warm 82!)
102 Fayette
102 Auburn, Dothan, Evergreen
101 Vinemont
101 Decatur, Huntsville, Muscle Shoals, Huntsville/UAH
101 Crumly Chapel
101 Cordova
101 Cordova
101 Clay
101 Black Creek (NE Etowah County)
100 Sycamore, Jemison, SE Trussville
100 Morris
100 Downtown Birminghm
100 Clanton
100 Albertville, DeSoto State Park

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Thursday's weather


This is my car thermometer at 4:15 this afternoon in Morgan County!

North Cullman County, AL -
Low 72.5
High 101.0
No Rain

Action in the tropics?

The computer models are beginning to hint at activity developing in the tropics during the next few weeks.

1. The European model has been showing a development of a tropical system located south of Mobile, AL in the Gulf of Mexico next Tuesday August 14.

2. The GFS shows a tropical system approaching the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Wednesday August 22.

3. The GFS shows another tropical low near the Bahamas on Saturday August 25.

I would not get to caught up in the details of these models, but this is a strong indication that something will be happening that we will be watching very closely during the upcoming weeks!

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

Wednesday's weather

Today in Cullman County:

High 100.9
Low 73.4

This is the highest temperature I have recorded in my four years living in North Cullman County.

According to weather legend emeritus J.B. Elliott of Alabamawx.com, here are some more highs from the area:

  • 100 Crumly Chapel, Fayette, Auburn, Decatur, Muscle Shoals, Troy, Demopolis Sky Cam, Albertville, Decatur Airport, Huntsville/UAH
  • 101 Cottondale, Greystone Farms, Vinemont, Evergreen, Huntsville Airport
  • 102 Alabaster, Birmingham Airport, Shelby County Airport, Tuscaloosa Airport
  • 103 Vestavia, East Trussville (Jay Shelly, NWS retired) Meadowbrook, Anniston Airport, Montgomery Airport, Pinson

Heat Advisory NWS Huntsville

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
455 AM CDT WED AUG 8 2007

...DANGEROUS HEAT IS BUILDING WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT EXPECTED THURSDAY...

.STIFLING HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST ABOVE 100 DEGREES ARE LIKELY AT MOST LOCATIONS TODAY...THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY ON FRIDAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LOOSEN ITS GRIP ON THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH A COOL FRONT ARRIVAL BRINGING A SLIGHT COOL DOWN AND MORE TOLERABLE HUMIDITY.

455 AM CDT WED AUG 8 2007

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH AROUND 100 DEGREES TODAY...FAR SHORT OF RECORD TERRITORY...BUT PUSHING HEAT STRESS TO A MORE DANGEROUS LEVEL. ON THURSDAY...HIGHS COULD REACH FROM 100 TO 103 DEGREES AT MOST LOCATIONS...AND NEAR RECORDS FOR THE CALENDAR DAY.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES OF 104 TO 108 DEGREES WILL BE COMMON...POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 110 DEGREES ON THURSDAY...MAKING EVEN LIMITED OUTDOOR EXPOSURE DANGEROUS.

LIMITED OVERNIGHT COOLING IS ANTICIPATED...WITH LOWS ONLY DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S...CONTRIBUTING TO THE DANGER FROM THIS
HEAT WAVE.

A COOL FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY. HOT WEATHER IS AGAIN ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES HOWEVER...SO AN EXTENSION OF THIS HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED.

HEAT IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER. HEAT EXHAUSTION...HEAT CRAMPS...OR IN EXTREME CASES...HEAT STROKE MAY RESULT FROM PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THESE CONDITIONS. USE COMMON
SENSE...AND STAY OUT OF THE HEAT WHEN POSSIBLE. CHECK FREQUENTLY ON THOSE WHO MAY BE AT RISK...SUCH AS CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY...AND PEOPLE WITH CHRONIC AILMENTS. BE SURE TO PROVIDE AMPLE WATER SUPPLY FOR OUTDOOR PETS.

Alabama current conditions

Keep up with the temperatures as they rise today here.

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Tuesday's Weather

Today in Cullman County...
Low 73.4
High 99.1
No Rain

Other reports across Alabama:
101 - Montgomery (breaks the record high of 100 set on this date in 1956)
100 - Muscle Shoals, Birmingham, Anniston, Tuscaloosa (ties the record high in 1956)
99 - Hartselle, Huntsville, Florence, Alexander City
98 - Decatur, Madison, Meridianville, Oxford, Calera

Summer's day song

James Spann used my suggestion for his hot weather song lyrics of
the day in his afternoon forecast discussion at Alabamawx.com.

James wrote...
This afternoon’s heat song is submitted by reader Mike Wilhelm.
Mike writes: “I hope you don’t run out of summer songs before
the heat subsides. How about this one from Sam Cooke in 1957?
Paul McCartney released a really good version in the late 80’s too.”

“It’s summertime and the living is easy
Fish are jumping and the cotton is high
Your daddy’s rich and your mama’s good-looking
Hush, little baby don’t you cry
don’t cry, don’t cry, don’t cryno no no no
don’t cry, don’t cry
One of these mornings you’re gonna rise up singing

you spread your wings and take to the sky
But until that morning there is nothing can harm you
With your daddy and mommy standing by
They are standing by, I know, don’t cry
Summertime, summertime, summertime

and the living is, living is easy”

What weather did you expect in Alabama on August 7?

I have been thinking all summer that the drought we had the first half of the year might enhance our chance for a dangerous heat wave. I mentioned this in a post in June. It looks like it is on us now. Don't get me wrong, it would be hot today regardless of the drought we have been having because we are under a very strong high pressure ridge and these conditions are not that unusual for Alabama in early August. What I am saying is that the persistent drought may be bumping the temperatures up just a few degrees. With less moisture in the ground, the air has a better chance to heat up quickly during the day.

Still, this is not shaping up like it will challenge any all time record heat waves. J.B. Elliott mentioned this morning that in July 1952 Cullman had ten days in a row with highs of 100 or greater. I am very confident that will not happen in Cullman this year.

Now I'm waiting for the first person who will blame this on "global warming".

Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
322 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2007

...HEAT WAVE WILL BECOME MORE DANGEROUS THROUGH
THE WEEK...

.AS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SITS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST THIS WEEK...DANGEROUS HEAT WILL GRIP
THE AREA. THE WORST OF THE HEAT WILL OCCUR FROM
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...POSSIBLY LASTING
INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND. STIFLING AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AROUND OR JUST ABOVE 100 DEGREES
ARE ANTICIPATED...WHILE ONLY DROPPING
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT NIGHT.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS
ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH AROUND 100 DEGREES
BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS...WITH
HEAT INDICES OF AROUND 105 DEGREES COMMON. THESE
VALUES MAY APPROACH 110 DEGREES IN A FEW LOCATIONS
...MAKING OUTDOOR EXPOSURE DANGEROUS. LIMITED
OVERNIGHT COOLING... WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE DANGER FROM THIS
LENGTHENING HEAT WAVE. THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED AN
EXTENSION THROUGH FRIDAY OR SATURDAY IF CURRENT
FORECASTS STAY ON TRACK.

HEAT EXHAUSTION...HEAT CRAMPS...OR IN EXTREME CASES
...HEAT STROKE MAY RESULT FROM PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THESE CONDITIONS. CHECK FREQUENTLY ON THOSE
WHO MAY BE AT RISK...SUCH AS CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY
...AND PEOPLE WITH CHRONIC AILMENTS.

Monday, August 06, 2007

Special Weather Statement

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
353 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-071000-
COLBERT-CULLMAN-DE KALB-FRANKLIN AL-FRANKLIN TN-JACKSON-LAUDERDALE-
LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-LINCOLN-MADISON-MARSHALL-MOORE-MORGAN-
353 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007

...THE CURRENT HEAT WAVE EXPECTED TO REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS
THROUGH FRIDAY...

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH NEAR OR AROUND 100 DEGREES EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...EXCEPT IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WITH HUMIDITY ADDED IN...HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 104 TO 108...POSSIBLY EXCEEDING DANGEROUS
LEVELS AROUND 110 DEGREES. ANOTHER CONTRIBUTING HEAT STRESS FACTOR
WILL BE LIMITED NIGHTTIME RECOVERY COOLING EACH NIGHT...WITH LOWS
ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

PROTECT YOURSELF AGAINST THE HEAT BY LIMITING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.
SLOW DOWN IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE...AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS WHICH
INCLUDE PLENTY OF WATER.

TARGET GROUPS ARE ATHLETES...OUTDOOR LABORERS...THE ELDERLY...AND
YOUNG CHILDREN. HOWEVER...ANYONE CAN BE AFFLICTED BY HEAT
EXHAUSTION.

BE AWARE OF SIGNS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION...AND IF YOU FEEL ANY
SYMPTOMS...STOP IMMEDIATELY AND FIND A COOL PLACE TO REST. ALSO
REMEMBER TO PROVIDE EXTRA WATER AND A SHADY PLACE FOR PETS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
HUNTSVILLE.

$$

Monday's Weather

Today in Cullman County:

Low 71.6
High 97.9
No Rain

This is the fourth day in a row that the high temperature here has been between 97.0 and 97.9. This heat is amazingly consistent. The humidity makes it brutal. Welcome to August in Alabama!

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Sunday's weather

Today in Cullman County, AL:

Low 71.6
High 97.9
No rain....

Humidity and sun were brutal this afternoon in Tuscaloosa....

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Saturday's weather

Today in Cullman County...

Low 68.5
High 97.0
No Rain

Friday, August 03, 2007

Friday's weather

Today in Cullman County, Alabama.
Low 69.6
High 97.7
Rain .16"

Hurricane Celia 1970








The next in my series of Atlantic Hurricanes is Hurricane Celia which made landfall in Texas on this date (August 3) in 1970. It was the strongest storm of that season.

Celia caused $453 million (1970 dollars) and killed 16 people in Cuba and Texas.

In terms of today's dollars, the estimate would be closer to $1.83 billion dollars, according to the NWS Corpus Christi.

Celia fluctuated in intensity while traversing the Gulf of Mexico. Shortly before it made landfall in Corpus Christi, TX, winds peaked at 125 mph.

Technically Celia was considered a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 125 at landfall. However, winds gusts were recorded as high as 180 mph.

The maximum rainfall from Celia in Texas was 7.26" in Robstown.

Celia maintained hurricane strength well inland, with damaging winds reported as far inland as Del Rio and Sanderson in southwest Texas.

According to the NWS Corpus Christi, "The wind gusts were confined to small areas "looking almost like a tiger's claw" over the city of Corpus Christi. One man, in his desciption of the wind burst, stated the sound of the gust was "like a giant hammer hitting the building."

Eight people drowned in the heavy surf and rip current generated by Celia, then located near the center of the Gulf of Mexico, appoximately 300 miles away.

Deaths indirectly caused by Celia occurrred along the Florida Panhandle, where 8 persons drowned in the heavy surf and rip current generated by Celia, then located near the center of the Gulf of Mexico, appox. 300 miles away.

Deaths indirectly caused by Celia occurrred along the Florida Panhandle, where 8 persons drowned in the heavy surf and rip current generated by Celia, then located near the center of the Gulf of Mexico, appox. 300 miles away.

The highest tides generated by Hurricane Celia were 9.2 feet above MSL and 9.0 feet above MSL, at Port Aransas Beach and Port Aransas Jetty, respectively. These occurred about 2:40 p.m., CDT, on the 3rd.

The following article refers to Weather Bureau employee Don Dunlap:

SEES IT AT ITS WORST
Texas Weatherman Keeps Tabs on Celia
CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas (UPI) ---It was approaching 5:30 p.m.
The little man who looked like Peter Lorre put on his baby-blue
parka again and stuck his head out the front door of the
Weather Bureau. He peered out for only a second, and then
lurched back inside to escape the stinging rain and high winds.
The man threw off his coat and sloshed through ankle-deep water
in a small, darkened room on the second floor. He aimed his
weakening flashlight on the only two meteorological devices
still working in Corpus Christi and then looked up. "It hit
140 knots---140 knots," he said. The watch on Donald A.
Dunlap's wrist just recorded the most intense moment of
Hurricane Celia. The needle on the mechanical wind gauge was
at 161 miles an hour. The barometer was at what would be its
lowest point of the day--28.46. "Be sure to mention how low
the barometer went," he said. "Everybody will be real
interested in that." When Hurricane Celia reached its
destructive heights on the Texas coast Monday, Dunlap was the
only weatherman still taking readings. As the winds began to
build, most of the weathermen huddled around the radar screen
to watch the progress of the storm. Dunlap, 52, stayed by his
barometer. "Gee whiz," said one meteorologist, if there's
anybody here who'll know what this hurricane will do it's old
Dunlap." Then the power went off, and windows began popping
out, water started flowing across the floor of the Weather
Bureau. Dunlap unscrewed the barometer from its case, and
walked with the water squishing in his shoes to the windowless
second floor room. With the barometer safe, Dunlap donned his
parka and made frequent dashes down the stairs to get the feel
of the winds, taking notes in a small book. Once one of his
co-workers caught sight of Dunlap in the darkened room and
called out to the others: "Hey, Dunlap thinks we're still
making readings." Dunlap was eating a sandwich. His round
face turned up from his notebook. "Yes," he said, "I'm making
a few observations."

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Hurricane Allen 1980





As we are now getting into the heart of hurricane season, I am starting a series of posts on historic hurricanes. Today we will look back at 1980 Hurricane Allen.

Fast facts on Allen:

Allen was the strongest hurricane of the 1980 season.

Allen was one of a three hurricanes (Ivan and Isabel) to reach category five status on 3 separate occasions.

Allen was one of only two (Camille was the other) hurricanes to achieve 190 mph wind gusts.

Allen contained a central pressure of 911 mb, the lowest pressure on record in the Eastern Caribbean.

Allen reached its minimum pressure of 899 mb while crossing the Yucatan Channel (that is the fifth lowest pressure of all time in an Atlantic hurricane).

Allen restrengthened into a Category 5 hurricane for a third time as it moved over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

Allen's pressure dropped to 909 mb, the lowest pressure ever recorded in the western Gulf of Mexico.

Allen made landfall north of Brownsville, Texas as a Category 3 storm with sustained winds of only 115 mph. Strength had dropped prior to landfall due to dry air aloft.

Allen spent almost 3 days (total) as a Category 5 storm which is by far the highest of any Atlantic hurricane.

The storm caused 7 deaths in Texas and 17 in Louisiana (most resulting from the crash of a helicopter evacuating workers from an offshore platform).

Two were reported dead in Corpus Christi, while deciding to ride the storm out at North Beach.

Allen spawned several tornadoes in Texas including one in Austin, Texas that was the costliest tropical cyclone-spawned tornado ever.

Allen dumped 10-20" of rain on parts of South Texas, bring relief from the drought and heat wave of 1980.

20.20" of rain fell in Kingsville, TX.

The highest reported storm surge was 12' at Port Mansfield, TX. The surge may have been higher in unpopulated areas.

The highest wind gust was 138 mph in Port Mansfield, TX.

34 tornadoes were known to have touched down across South Texas.