Thursday, March 01, 2007

Discussion From Huntsville NWS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 304 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

.DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERNS FOR TODAY WILL BE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF CWA IS IN A RARE HIGH RISK AREA FOR THE DAY ONE OUTLOOK. ATTM OUR WRN 3 COUNTIES (LAUDERDALE/COLBERT/FRANKLIN) ARE IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 8 AM. NO SEVERE WEATHER TO REPORT ACROSS THE CWA SO FAR...ONLY PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL/GUSTY WINDS.

CURRENTLY TEMPS ARE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 60S WITH DEWPOINT RANGING FROM THE LOWER 40S IN NWRN AL TO MID 30S IN NERN AL. LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WX WILL BE MID MRNG THRU EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE CWA.

THIS AFTN...WITH 8H WINDS ARND 50 KTS/TEMPS IN THE LOWER 70S/DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S/HELICITIES 500 TO 600...SEVERE WX LOOKS TO BE A SURE BET. ALSO THINKING MIGHT SEE ENOUGH SUN BY AFTN TO ADD MORE ENERGY TO THE SITUATION. ATTM WILL GO LOWER 70S TODAY BUT IF WE GET MORE SUN THAN EXPECTED COULD SEE MID 70S..SINCE WE ARE ALREADY IN THE LOWER 60S. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OUTLOOK OVER OUR CWA...WE WILL HAVE BIGGER FISH TO FRY.

LOOKS LIKE BY 9 TO 10 PM IN EXTREME NERN AL...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE OVER AS CDFNT PUSHES THROUGH. EXPECTING CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD LET TEMPS FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S/LOW 40S. OTHERWISE AFTER TONIGHT...LOOKS LIKE COOLER WX THRU THE WEEKEND. REMOVED THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN ON SATURDAY SINCE GFS/NAM LOOK TO DRY AS WEAK CDFNT SLIDES ACROSS THE AREA. MONDAY THRU WEDNESDAY TEMPS ONCE AGAIN WILL RISE INTO THE 60S WITH DRY WX EXPECTED.

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